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ARFIMA: 분수 차분 ARMA 모형×로지스틱 회귀×
분야계량경제학연구 통계
계열Regression modelProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19801958
창시자Granger & Joyeux (1980); Hosking (1981)David Roxbee Cox
유형Long-memory time series modelMethod
원전Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15–29. DOI ↗Cox, D. R. (1958). The regression analysis of binary sequences. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 20(2), 215–242. DOI ↗
별칭fractionally integrated ARMA, long-memory time series model, ARFIMA / FIGARCH, fractional differencing modellogit model, binomial logistic regression, LR
관련53
요약ARFIMA is a time series model that captures long-memory behaviour using a fractional differencing parameter d, generalising the integer differencing of ARIMA. It was introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980) and formalised by Hosking (1981) to describe series whose autocorrelations decay slowly rather than abruptly.Logistic regression is a statistical method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome (disease present/absent, success/failure) as a function of continuous and categorical predictors. Developed by David Roxbee Cox (1958), it solves the problem of predicting categorical outcomes by applying a logistic transformation to constrain predictions to the [0,1] probability interval, enabling accurate risk stratification, diagnostic prediction, and causal inference in epidemiology, medicine, and social science.
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