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에이전트 기반 시나리오 분석×Policy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1990s–2000s1990s–2000s
창시자Axelrod, R.; Schoemaker, P. J. H. (combined lineage)Axelrod, R. and colleagues in computational social science
유형Hybrid simulation–scenario methodSimulation-based policy comparison
원전Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691015675Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691015675
별칭ABSA, ABM scenario analysis, agent-based scenario planning, scenario-driven ABMPolicy ABM, Policy Scenario ABM, Scenario-Based ABM, PS-ABM
관련45
요약Agent-based scenario analysis embeds agent-based simulation models inside a structured scenario planning framework. Researchers define two to four contrasting future scenarios, configure agent populations and environmental rules to reflect each scenario's assumptions, run the simulation under each condition, and compare emergent outcomes. This makes it possible to explore how decentralized individual behaviors aggregate into system-level consequences under radically different futures.Policy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling (PS-ABM) is a simulation method that uses agent-based models to evaluate and compare multiple policy scenarios. Heterogeneous autonomous agents interact under different policy regimes, and emergent system-level outcomes are compared across scenarios to inform evidence-based policy decisions. It is widely used in public health, urban planning, economics, and social policy research.
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