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TAR / SETAR: Pragovi Autoregresije za Vremenske Nizove s Promjenom Režima×Model glatke prijelazne autoregresije (STAR)×
PodručjeEkonometrijaEkonometrija
ObiteljRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka19901994
TvoracHowell TongTeräsvirta (1994); van Dijk, Teräsvirta & Franses (2002)
VrstaNonlinear time-series model with regime switchingNonlinear time-series regime-switching model
Temeljni izvorTong, H. (1990). Non-linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0-19-852300-6Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208–218. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviThreshold Autoregression, Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregression, SETAR Model, Eşik Otoregresyonsmooth transition autoregressive model, LSTAR, ESTAR, logistic STAR
Srodne24
SažetakTAR and SETAR are nonlinear autoregressive models introduced by Howell Tong (1990) that allow a time series to follow different linear dynamics in distinct regimes, separated by one or more threshold values. SETAR is the self-exciting variant, in which the threshold variable is a lagged value of the series itself, making it particularly suited to cycles, asymmetric adjustment, and limit-cycle behavior observed in economic and financial data.The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model is a nonlinear time-series model, developed in Teräsvirta's 1994 framework, that lets the dynamics move smoothly rather than abruptly between two regimes. The logistic variant (LSTAR) captures asymmetric business cycles and the exponential variant (ESTAR) captures purchasing-power-parity deviations.
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ScholarGateUsporedite metode: TAR / SETAR · STAR Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-17 s https://scholargate.app/hr/compare