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| Markovljev model promjene režima (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | Model Vektorske Autoregresije (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Područje | Ekonometrija | Ekonometrija |
| Obitelj | Regression model | Regression model |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 1989 | 2005 |
| Tvorac≠ | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| Vrsta≠ | Regime-switching time series model | Multivariate time-series model |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi≠ | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| Srodne≠ | 5 | 4 |
| Sažetak≠ | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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