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| Breusch-Godfrey LM Test za serijsku korelaciju× | Model ARIMA (Autoregresivni integrirani pokretni prosjek)× | Durbin-Watsonov test za autokorelaciju× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Područje | Ekonometrija | Ekonometrija | Ekonometrija |
| Obitelj | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 1978 | 2015 | 1950 |
| Tvorac≠ | Trevor Breusch & Leslie Godfrey | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | James Durbin & Geoffrey Watson |
| Vrsta≠ | Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation | Univariate time-series model | Test for first-order residual autocorrelation |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Durbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi≠ | BG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testi | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | DW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testi |
| Srodne≠ | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Sažetak≠ | The Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | The Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations. |
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