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ARIMA model (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Model ARMA (Autoregresivni pokretni prosjek)×Robusni generalizirani najmanji kvadrati (Robust GLS)×
PodručjeEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
ObiteljRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka197019701936 / 1980
TvoracGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsAitken (GLS theory, 1936); White (robust covariance, 1980)
VrstaTime series forecasting modelTime series modelRobust linear regression
Temeljni izvorBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed.). Pearson. Chapter 9: The Generalized Regression Model and Heteroscedasticity. ISBN: 978-0131395381
Drugi naziviARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)robust generalized least squares, GLS with robust standard errors, heteroscedasticity-consistent GLS, HC-GLS
Srodne655
SažetakThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.Robust GLS extends classical Generalized Least Squares by pairing GLS coefficient estimation with heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) standard errors, or by using M-estimation within the GLS framework. It corrects for non-spherical errors — heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or both — while also guarding inference against misspecification of the error covariance structure.
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ScholarGateUsporedite metode: ARIMA model · ARMA model · Robust GLS. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 s https://scholargate.app/hr/compare