השוואת שיטות

	מבחן הגבולות של ARDL (מבחן הגבולות של Pesaran)	מבחן קואינטגרציה (יוהנסן / אנגל-גריינג'ר)	רגרסיית ריבועים פחותים רגילים (OLS)	מודל אוטורגרסיה וקטורית (VAR)
תחום	אקונומטריקה	אקונומטריקה	אקונומטריקה	אקונומטריקה
משפחה	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
שנת המקור	2001	1988	2019	2005
הוגה השיטה	Pesaran, Shin & Smith	Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)	Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares	Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
סוג	Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model	Time-series cointegration test	Linear regression	Multivariate time-series model
מקור מכונן	Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.	Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254.	Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer.
כינויים	Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)	Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)	ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu	vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
קשורות	4	5	5	4
תקציר	The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.	The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).	Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).	Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).