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Autorégression vectorielle augmentée par des facteurs (FAVAR)×Modèle à changement de régime markovien (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Modèle de Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine200519892005
Auteur d'origineBernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexesHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TypeMultivariate time-series modelRegime-switching time series modelMultivariate time-series model
Source fondatriceBernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
Aliasfactor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Apparentées454
RésuméFAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: FAVAR · Markov-Switching Model · VAR Model. Consulté le 2026-06-19 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare