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آزمون علیت گرنجر تودا-یاماموتو×آزمون گرنجر-علّیت دولادو-لوتکپول×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهHypothesis testHypothesis testRegression model
سال پیدایش199519962005
پدیدآورHiro Toda & Taku YamamotoJuan Dolado & Helmut LütkepohlLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوعModified Wald test on augmented VARModified Wald test for Granger causality in possibly integrated or cointegrated VAR systemsMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینToda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250. DOI ↗Dolado, J. J., & Lütkepohl, H. (1996). Making Wald tests work for cointegrated VAR systems. Econometric Reviews, 15(4), 369–386. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرTY Causality Test, Modified Wald Granger Causality, MWALD Test, Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik TestiDL Causality Test, Modified Wald Causality Test, Augmented VAR Causality Test, Dolado-Lütkepohl Testivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط324
خلاصهThe Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test, introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), provides a robust procedure for testing Granger non-causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) models when the variables may be integrated or cointegrated of arbitrary order. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, the method bypasses the need for pre-testing cointegration and preserves the standard asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the Wald statistic.The Dolado-Lütkepohl (DL) test, introduced by Dolado and Lütkepohl (1996), is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) systems whose variables may be integrated or cointegrated. By fitting a VAR of slightly higher order than necessary and restricting the Wald statistic to the first p lag blocks, the test recovers the standard chi-squared limiting distribution without requiring pre-testing for cointegration or transformation to error-correction form.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Toda-Yamamoto Causality · Dolado-Lütkepohl Causality · VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare