مقایسهٔ روشها
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| آزمون علیت گرنجر تودا-یاماموتو× | مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| حوزه | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی |
| خانواده≠ | Hypothesis test | Regression model |
| سال پیدایش≠ | 1995 | 2005 |
| پدیدآور≠ | Hiro Toda & Taku Yamamoto | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| نوع≠ | Modified Wald test on augmented VAR | Multivariate time-series model |
| منبع بنیادین≠ | Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250. DOI ↗ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| نامهای دیگر | TY Causality Test, Modified Wald Granger Causality, MWALD Test, Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik Testi | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| مرتبط≠ | 3 | 4 |
| خلاصه≠ | The Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test, introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), provides a robust procedure for testing Granger non-causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) models when the variables may be integrated or cointegrated of arbitrary order. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, the method bypasses the need for pre-testing cointegration and preserves the standard asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the Wald statistic. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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