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آزمون علیت گرنجر تودا-یاماموتو×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهHypothesis testRegression model
سال پیدایش19952005
پدیدآورHiro Toda & Taku YamamotoLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوعModified Wald test on augmented VARMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینToda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرTY Causality Test, Modified Wald Granger Causality, MWALD Test, Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik Testivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط34
خلاصهThe Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test, introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), provides a robust procedure for testing Granger non-causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) models when the variables may be integrated or cointegrated of arbitrary order. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, the method bypasses the need for pre-testing cointegration and preserves the standard asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the Wald statistic.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Toda-Yamamoto Causality · VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare