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APARCH×مدل نمایی GARCH (EGARCH)×مدل GARCH (پیش‌بینی نوسانات)×GJR-GARCH (GARCH نامتقارن)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1993199119861993
پدیدآورDing, Granger & EngleNelsonTim BollerslevGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)
نوعConditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional volatility modelAsymmetric conditional volatility model
منبع بنیادینDing, Z., Granger, C. W. J., & Engle, R. F. (1993). A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1(1), 83–106. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرAsymmetric Power ARCH, Power ARCH, APGARCH, Asimetrik Güç ARCHexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)
مرتبط3455
خلاصهAPARCH, introduced by Ding, Granger, and Engle (1993) while studying long-memory properties of stock market returns, extends the GARCH family by allowing both the power transformation of conditional volatility and an asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. The model nests at least seven well-known ARCH-type specifications as special cases, making it a unifying framework for volatility modelling in financial econometrics.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: APARCH · EGARCH · GARCH Model · GJR-GARCH. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare