Võrdle meetodeid

	SARIMA mudel	ARIMA mudel (autoregressiivne integreeritud libisev keskmine)	ARMA mudel (autoregressiivne liikuv keskmine)	Liikuv keskmine (MA) mudel
Valdkond	Ökonomeetria	Ökonomeetria	Ökonomeetria	Ökonomeetria
Perekond	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Tekkeaasta	1970 (first edition); 1976 (revised)	1970	1970	1970
Looja	Box, Jenkins, and Reinsel	George Box and Gwilym Jenkins	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins	Box and Jenkins
Tüüp	Seasonal time series model	Time series forecasting model	Time series model	Linear time series model
Algallikas	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
Rööpnimetused	SARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal component	ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)	ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)	MA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
Seotud	5	6	5	5
Kokkuvõte	SARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics.	The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.	The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.	The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.