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Nonlineær TGARCH-model×ARCH-model (Autoregressiv Betinget Heteroskedasticitet)×EGARCH-model (Eksponentiel GARCH)×GARCH-model (volatilitetsprognoser)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometriØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår1993–1994198219911986
OphavspersonJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleRobert F. EngleDaniel B. NelsonTim Bollerslev
TypeConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility model
Oprindelig kildeZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasserNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Relaterede4665
ResuméThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Nonlinear TGARCH model · ARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model. Hentet 2026-06-19 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare