Compara mètodes
Revisa els mètodes seleccionats l'un al costat de l'altre; les files que difereixen es ressalten.
| Model d'Equilibri General Dinàmic Estocàstic (DSGE)× | Model d'Equilibri General Computable (EGC)× | Model d'espai d'estats (Filtre de Kalman)× | Model d'Autoregressió Vectorial (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp | Econometria | Econometria | Econometria | Econometria |
| Família | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Any d'origen≠ | 2007 | 2002 | 1990 | 2005 |
| Autor original≠ | Smets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation) | Lofgren, Harris & Robinson (standard IFPRI CGE model in GAMS); Walrasian general equilibrium theory | Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| Tipus≠ | Micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model | Numerical general equilibrium model | State space time series model | Multivariate time-series model |
| Font seminal≠ | Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗ | Lofgren, H., Harris, R.L. & Robinson, S. (2002). A Standard Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model in GAMS. IFPRI Microcomputers in Policy Research, 5. link ↗ | Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Àlies≠ | DSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE) | computable general equilibrium, applied general equilibrium model, Hesaplanabilir Genel Denge Modeli (CGE) | state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter) | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| Relacionats≠ | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Resum≠ | A DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations. | A Computable General Equilibrium model is a numerical equilibrium framework that represents the input-output relationships among all sectors, factors of production, households, and foreign trade in an economy through a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). Grounded in Walrasian general equilibrium theory and formalised in the standard IFPRI model of Lofgren, Harris and Robinson (2002), it simulates the economy-wide effects of policy shocks such as tax reform, trade liberalisation, or environmental policy. | A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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