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Vector Autoregressiu Bayesà (BVAR)×Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression (FAVAR)×Vector autoregressiu amb llindar i transició suau (TVAR / STVAR)×
CampEconometriaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Any d'origen198620051998
Autor originalLitterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010)Bernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexesTsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
TipusBayesian multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Font seminalLitterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
ÀliesBVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR)factor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR)TVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Relacionats545
ResumBayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts.FAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Bayesian VAR · FAVAR · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Recuperat el 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare