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ইগার্চ মডেল (এক্সপোনেনশিয়াল GARCH)×অটো রিগ্রেসিভ কন্ডিশনাল হেটেরোস্কেডাস্টিসিটি (ARCH) মডেল×ডিসি-জিএআরসিএইচ মডেল (ডাইনামিক কন্ডিশনাল কোরিলেশন)×GARCH মডেল (ভলাটিলিটি পূর্বাভাস)×
ক্ষেত্রঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতি
পরিবারRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
উদ্ভবের বছর1991198220021986
প্রবর্তকDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
ধরনVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
মৌলিক উৎসNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
অপর নামExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
সম্পর্কিত6655
সারসংক্ষেপThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: EGARCH model · ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · GARCH Model. 2026-06-19 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare