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কয়েন্ট্রিগ্রেশন টেস্ট (জোহানসেন / এঙ্গেল-গ্র্যাঞ্জার)×ARDL বাউন্ডস টেস্ট (পেসারান বাউন্ডস টেস্ট)×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) মডেল×গ্র্যাঞ্জার কার্যকারণ পরীক্ষা×ভেক্টর অটো রিগ্রেশন (VAR) মডেল×
ক্ষেত্রঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতি
পরিবারRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
উদ্ভবের বছর19882001201519692005
প্রবর্তকEngle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Pesaran, Shin & SmithBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Clive W. J. GrangerLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
ধরনTime-series cointegration testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelUnivariate time-series modelTime-series predictive causality testMultivariate time-series model
মৌলিক উৎসJohansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
অপর নামJohansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
সম্পর্কিত54554
সারসংক্ষেপThe cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: Cointegration Test · ARDL Bounds Test · ARIMA · Granger Causality · VAR Model. 2026-06-18 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare