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نمذجة التقلبات الشرطية متعددة المتغيرات BEKK-GARCH×نموذج الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي (DCC-GARCH)×نموذج GARCH (التنبؤ بالتقلب)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالتمويلالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة199520021986
صاحب الطريقةRobert Engle & Kenneth KronerRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
النوعMultivariate conditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
المصدر التأسيسيEngle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11(1), 122–150. DOI ↗Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةBEKK Model, Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner GARCH, Multivariate BEKK, BEKK-ÇARCH Modelidynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu KorelasyonGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
ذات صلة355
الملخصBEKK-GARCH, proposed by Engle and Kroner (1995), is a multivariate GARCH specification that models the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of a system of financial return series. Named after Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner, it is the dominant framework for quantifying volatility spillovers and dynamic correlations across multiple assets or markets simultaneously, widely adopted by financial economists and risk managers since the mid-1990s.DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: BEKK-GARCH · DCC-GARCH · GARCH Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare