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| نمذجة التقلبات الشرطية متعددة المتغيرات BEKK-GARCH× | نموذج GARCH (التنبؤ بالتقلب)× | |
|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 1995 | 1986 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Robert Engle & Kenneth Kroner | Tim Bollerslev |
| النوع≠ | Multivariate conditional volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Engle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11(1), 122–150. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة | BEKK Model, Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner GARCH, Multivariate BEKK, BEKK-ÇARCH Modeli | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) |
| ذات صلة≠ | 3 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | BEKK-GARCH, proposed by Engle and Kroner (1995), is a multivariate GARCH specification that models the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of a system of financial return series. Named after Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner, it is the dominant framework for quantifying volatility spillovers and dynamic correlations across multiple assets or markets simultaneously, widely adopted by financial economists and risk managers since the mid-1990s. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. |
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