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Regression modelEconometrics / time series

稳健SARIMA模型

稳健SARIMA通过用稳健损失函数(例如M估计量)替换标准的最小二乘准则,扩展了经典的季节性ARIMA框架,从而使季节性时间序列中的异常值和重尾创新不会扭曲参数估计或使预测失效。

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来源

  1. Muler, N., Peña, D., & Yohai, V. J. (2009). Robust estimation for ARMA models. The Annals of Statistics, 37(2), 816–840. DOI: 10.1214/07-AOS570
  2. Franses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1–9. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(98)00053-3

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Robust Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/robust-sarima-model

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ScholarGateRobust SARIMA model (Robust Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/robust-sarima-model · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026