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Regression modelEconometrics / time series

稳健 ARIMA 模型

稳健 ARIMA 模型扩展了经典的 ARIMA 框架,用于在估计过程中检测和纠正异常值和结构性断裂的影响。通过联合识别异常观测值和重新估计模型参数,它产生的系数估计和预测比标准 ARIMA 受孤立冲击或数据错误的影响要小得多。

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来源

  1. Tsay, R. S. (1986). Time series model specification in the presence of outliers. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(393), 132–141. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1986.10478250
  2. Chen, C., & Liu, L.-M. (1993). Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88(421), 284–297. DOI: 10.2307/2290724

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Robust Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/robust-arima-model

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被引用于

ScholarGateRobust ARIMA model (Robust Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/robust-arima-model · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026