方法对比

	转移熵	收敛交叉映射 (CCM)	格兰杰因果检验
领域	因果推断	因果推断	计量经济学
方法族	Machine learning	Machine learning	Regression model
起源年份	2000	2012	1969
提出者	Thomas Schreiber	George Sugihara et al.	Clive W. J. Granger
类型	Non-parametric information-theoretic measure	Nonlinear time-series causality test	Time-series predictive causality test
开创性文献	Schreiber, T. (2000). Measuring information transfer. Physical Review Letters, 85(2), 461–464.	Sugihara, G., et al. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496–500.	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438.
别名	Schreiber Information Transfer, Directed Information Flow, Conditional Mutual Information (directed), Transfer Entropisi	CCM, Cross-Convergent Mapping, Empirical Dynamic Modelling Causality, Yakınsak Çapraz Haritalama	Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
相关	3	3	5
摘要	Transfer Entropy (TE) is a non-parametric, information-theoretic measure of directed statistical dependence between two time series, introduced by Thomas Schreiber in 2000. Grounded in Shannon entropy, it quantifies how much information the past of one process Y reduces uncertainty about the next state of another process X, beyond what X's own past already provides. Unlike linear correlation or Granger causality, TE captures nonlinear interactions and requires no model assumptions about the underlying dynamics.	Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a nonlinear, state-space method for detecting causality between time-series variables embedded in a shared dynamical system. Introduced by George Sugihara and colleagues in their landmark 2012 Science paper, CCM exploits Takens' embedding theorem: if variable X causally influences Y, the historical record of Y contains enough information to recover the states of X. Causality is confirmed when cross-map skill improves—converges—as the time-series library grows longer.	The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.