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时变参数系统GMM×动态面板数据模型×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1998 (System GMM); TVP extensions in applied literature thereafter1991–1998
提出者Blundell & Bond (System GMM base); Cooley & Prescott (TVP framework)Arellano & Bond (1991); Blundell & Bond (1998)
类型Dynamic panel estimator with time-varying coefficientsDynamic panel regression
开创性文献Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. DOI ↗Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. DOI ↗
别名TVP System GMM, time-varying System GMM, TVP-SGMM, dynamic panel TVP estimatordynamic panel model, lagged dependent variable panel model, Arellano-Bond type dynamic panel, GMM dynamic panel
相关65
摘要Time-Varying Parameter System GMM extends the Blundell-Bond System Generalized Method of Moments estimator to allow regression coefficients to change over time. By combining the instrument-based correction for dynamic endogeneity with a time-varying coefficient structure, the method captures both the persistence of the lagged dependent variable and structural shifts in the effect of regressors across periods.The dynamic panel data model extends standard panel regression by including one or more lagged values of the outcome variable as regressors. Because past outcomes directly predict current outcomes, the model captures persistence and adjustment dynamics — but it also introduces a correlation between the lagged dependent variable and the individual fixed effect, rendering OLS and standard fixed-effects estimators inconsistent. GMM-based approaches developed by Arellano-Bond and Blundell-Bond resolve this problem.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Time-varying parameter system GMM · Panel Dynamic Panel Data Model. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare