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随机波动率模型 (Heston)×GARCH 模型(波动率预测)×
领域金融学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份19931986
提出者Steven L. HestonTim Bollerslev
类型Continuous-time stochastic volatility modelConditional volatility model
开创性文献Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
别名Heston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV)GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
相关55
摘要The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Stochastic Volatility Model · GARCH Model. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare