方法对比
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| 稳健ARDL边界检验协整× | Johansen协整检验与向量误差修正模型× | 非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 模型× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 领域≠ | 计量经济学 | 金融学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 2019 | 1991 | 2014 |
| 提出者≠ | Sam, McNown & Goh | Søren Johansen | Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo |
| 类型≠ | Cointegration test | Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction model | Nonlinear cointegration model |
| 开创性文献≠ | Sam, C. Y., McNown, R., & Goh, S. K. (2019). An augmented autoregressive distributed lag bounds test for cointegration. Economic Modelling, 80, 130-141. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗ | Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗ |
| 别名≠ | Robust ARDL, Robust bounds testing approach, Sam-McNown-Goh bounds test, Bootstrap ARDL bounds test | Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration | NARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model |
| 相关≠ | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | The Robust ARDL bounds test is an augmented version of the Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) ARDL bounds testing approach that resolves its two key weaknesses: size distortion under mixed integration orders and the degenerate-case problem. It introduces three separate test statistics — an overall F-test and two new Wald statistics for the dependent and independent variables — evaluated against bootstrap-generated critical values. | The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium. | The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically. |
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