方法对比
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| 教育研究中的回归断点设计× | 中断时间序列(ITS)分析× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 因果推断 | 因果推断 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 1960 (origination); 1999-2010 (education economics canon) | 2002 |
| 提出者≠ | Thistlethwaite & Campbell (1960); popularized in education economics by Angrist & Lavy (1999), Lee & Lemieux (2010) | Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial) |
| 类型≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference | Quasi-experimental segmented regression |
| 开创性文献≠ | Lee, D. S., & Lemieux, T. (2010). Regression discontinuity designs in economics. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2), 281-355. DOI ↗ | Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | RDD in education, education RD design, sharp RDD education, score-cutoff design | ITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi |
| 相关 | 5 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | Regression discontinuity design (RDD) in education research exploits a score-based eligibility cutoff — such as a test score threshold, GPA requirement, or age cutoff — to estimate the causal effect of a program, intervention, or policy on student or school outcomes. Units just below and just above the cutoff are treated as near-randomly assigned, enabling credible causal inference without a randomized trial. | Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope. |
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