方法对比

	政策评估断点回归设计	因果推断的工具变量（IV）方法
领域	因果推断	卫生经济学
方法族	Regression model	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1960; policy evaluation applications widespread from 2000s	1990s (modern applications)
提出者	Thistlethwaite & Campbell (1960); popularized in policy evaluation by Lee & Lemieux (2010)	Angrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory
类型	Quasi-experimental causal design	Method
开创性文献	Lee, D. S., & Lemieux, T. (2010). Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2), 281-355.	Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
别名	Policy RDD, RD design in policy evaluation, regression discontinuity policy analysis, RDD policy impact	IV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation
相关	5	3
摘要	Policy Evaluation Regression Discontinuity Design (Policy RDD) exploits a known eligibility threshold in a policy rule to estimate the causal effect of that policy on outcomes. Units just below the cutoff serve as a credible comparison group for units just above it, making RDD one of the most transparent quasi-experimental strategies for assessing what a policy actually achieves.	Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes.