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非线性恩格尔-格兰杰协整×ARDL 边界检验(Pesaran 边界检验)×Johansen协整检验与向量误差修正模型×
领域计量经济学计量经济学金融学
方法族Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
起源年份1998-200620011991
提出者Kapetanios, Shin & Snell; Enders & GrangerPesaran, Shin & SmithSøren Johansen
类型Cointegration testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction model
开创性文献Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y., & Snell, A. (2006). Testing for cointegration in nonlinear smooth transition error correction models. Econometric Theory, 22(2), 279-303. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗
别名nonlinear cointegration, threshold cointegration, KSS cointegration, ESTAR cointegrationPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration
相关343
摘要Nonlinear Engle-Granger cointegration extends the classical two-step Engle-Granger procedure to detect long-run equilibria where adjustment toward the equilibrium is nonlinear — for example, faster above than below a threshold, or governed by a smooth transition mechanism. It is widely applied in financial economics, purchasing power parity tests, and commodity price analysis.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Nonlinear Engle-Granger Cointegration · ARDL Bounds Test · Johansen Cointegration Test. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare