方法对比

	多源德尔菲技术	德尔菲技术	名义小组技术
领域	调查方法论	调查方法论	质性
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1975–2000s	1950s–1963	1971
提出者	Extension of the classic Delphi method; multi-source framing attributed to diverse practitioners building on Linstone & Turoff (1975)	Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)	André L. Delbecq and Andrew H. Van de Ven
类型	Structured consensus-building technique	Iterative expert consensus technique	Qualitative research method
开创性文献	Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley.	Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467.	Delbecq, A. L., & Van de Ven, A. H. (1971). A group process model for problem identification and program planning. Journal of Applied Behavioral Science, 7(4), 466–492.
别名	Multi-stakeholder Delphi, Diverse-panel Delphi, Multi-group Delphi, MSDT	Delphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panel	NGT, structured group process, nominal group process, priority-setting group method
相关	3	6	6
摘要	The Multi-source Delphi Technique is a structured, iterative consensus-building method that deliberately recruits expert panellists from multiple, distinct stakeholder groups or knowledge sources. By ensuring that no single professional community or institution dominates the panel, it reduces homogeneity bias and captures a broader range of perspectives than a conventional single-group Delphi. Panellists respond anonymously across successive rounds, receiving aggregated group feedback between rounds until consensus or a stable level of agreement is reached.	The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.	The Nominal Group Technique (NGT) is a structured group facilitation method designed to generate and prioritise ideas, problems, or solutions while ensuring equal participation from all members. Developed by Delbecq and Van de Ven in 1971, it combines silent individual idea generation with structured group discussion and systematic voting to produce a ranked list of priorities. Unlike unstructured focus groups, NGT prevents dominant voices from suppressing quieter participants, making it especially valuable for needs assessment, program planning, and stakeholder priority-setting in applied research and policy contexts.