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傅里叶向量自回归模型×向量自回归 (VAR)×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份2010s1980
提出者Enders & Lee; extended by Nazlioglu and others to VAR systemsChristopher A. Sims
类型Multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
开创性文献Enders, W., & Lee, J. (2012). A unit root test using a Fourier series to approximate smooth breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74(4), 574-599. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
别名Fourier VAR, smooth structural break VAR, trigonometric VAR, Fourier-augmented VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
相关65
摘要The Fourier VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression by replacing fixed deterministic terms with Fourier trigonometric components, allowing the intercept (and optionally the trend) to shift gradually and smoothly over time. This eliminates the need to pre-specify the number, timing, or shape of structural breaks in a multivariate time-series system.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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  2. 2 来源
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  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Fourier VAR model · Vector Autoregression. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare