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方法族Process / pipelineHypothesis test
起源年份1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s1978
提出者Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods)Paul E. Green & V. Srinivasan
类型Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulationDecomposition-based utility estimation
开创性文献Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Green, P.E. & Srinivasan, V. (1978). Conjoint analysis in consumer research: Issues and outlook. Journal of Consumer Research, 5(2), 103–123. DOI ↗
别名stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation)CBC conjoint, choice-based conjoint, adaptive conjoint analysis, full-profile conjoint
相关56
摘要Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research.Conjoint analysis is a preference-measurement technique that decomposes overall product evaluations into the separate utility values — called part-worths — that respondents assign to each attribute level. Formalised by Green and Srinivasan in their seminal 1978 Journal of Consumer Research paper, the method has become the dominant tool in marketing research and product design for quantifying what buyers truly trade off when they choose between options.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Discrete Choice Simulation · Conjoint Analysis. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare