方法对比

	贝叶斯模型检验研究	多层模型
领域	研究设计	研究统计学
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1935 (Jeffreys); widely adopted in social and behavioral sciences from the 1990s onward	1992
提出者	Harold Jeffreys; formalized for applied sciences by Robert Kass and Adrian Raftery	Anthony Bryk and Stephen Raudenbush
类型	Quantitative inferential research design	Method
开创性文献	Kass, R. E., & Raftery, A. E. (1995). Bayes factors. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(430), 773–795.	Bryk, A. S., & Raudenbush, S. W. (1992). Hierarchical Linear Models: Applications and Data Analysis Methods. SAGE Publications.
别名	Bayesian hypothesis testing, Bayesian model comparison, Bayes factor analysis, BMT	HLM, mixed-effects models, random effects models, MLM
相关	4	3
摘要	Bayesian model testing research is a quantitative design in which competing theoretical models or hypotheses are evaluated by comparing their marginal likelihoods given observed data. The central tool is the Bayes factor — a ratio that quantifies how much more likely the data are under one model than under another. Unlike null-hypothesis significance testing, Bayesian model testing yields direct evidence for or against specific hypotheses, incorporates prior knowledge, and can support a null hypothesis rather than merely failing to reject it.	Multilevel modeling (also called hierarchical linear modeling, mixed-effects modeling) is a statistical framework for analyzing data organized in nested or clustered structures—students within schools, patients within hospitals, repeated measures within individuals. Developed by Bryk and Raudenbush (1992), it accounts for dependency among observations and partitions variance into levels (within-cluster and between-cluster), enabling valid inference and revealing context effects. Essential in education, medicine, organizational research, and any field where data have natural hierarchies.