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增广迪基-福勒(ADF)单位根检验×KPSS平稳性检验×带有一个结构性断裂的Zivot-Andrews单位根检验×
领域计量经济学计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression modelHypothesis test
起源年份197919921992
提出者David A. Dickey & Wayne A. FullerKwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt & ShinEric Zivot & Donald Andrews
类型Unit-root test for stationarityStationarity test (reverse of unit-root tests)Sequential unit-root test with endogenous break-point selection
开创性文献Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427–431. DOI ↗Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1–3), 159–178. DOI ↗Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI ↗
别名ADF test, Dickey-Fuller test, unit root test, Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller testiKwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin test, stationarity test, KPSS durağanlık testiZA Test, Zivot-Andrews Break Test, Endogenous Break Unit-Root Test, Zivot-Andrews Birim Kök Testi
相关443
摘要The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is the most widely used test for a unit root — that is, for whether a time series is non-stationary and must be differenced before modelling. Introduced by David Dickey and Wayne Fuller in 1979 and extended by Said and Dickey in 1984 to series with higher-order autocorrelation, it regresses the change in the series on its lagged level plus lagged differences and asks whether the lagged-level coefficient is zero.The KPSS test, introduced by Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin in 1992, tests the null hypothesis that a series is stationary against the alternative that it contains a unit root — the reverse of the ADF and Phillips-Perron tests. By flipping the burden of proof, it is designed to be used alongside unit-root tests so that the two can confirm one another and expose ambiguous, borderline cases.The Zivot-Andrews (ZA) test, introduced by Eric Zivot and Donald Andrews in 1992, is a sequential unit-root test that allows for a single structural break at an unknown date. It extends the augmented Dickey-Fuller framework by endogenously selecting the break point that provides the strongest evidence against the unit-root null hypothesis, making it particularly useful for macroeconomic and financial time series that may have been disrupted by events such as policy changes, financial crises, or supply shocks.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test · KPSS Test · Zivot-Andrews Test. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare