方法对比

	加速失效时间 (AFT) 模型	Kaplan-Meier生存估计量	威布尔参数生存回归
领域	生存分析	生存分析	生存分析
方法族	Survival analysis	Survival analysis	Survival analysis
起源年份	1992	1958	1951
提出者	Wei, L. J. (seminal review 1992); origins in parametric survival literature	Kaplan, E. L. & Meier, P.	Waloddi Weibull
类型	Parametric survival regression model	Non-parametric survival estimator	Fully parametric survival regression model
开创性文献	Wei, L. J. (1992). The Accelerated Failure Time Model: A Useful Alternative to the Cox Regression Model in Survival Analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 11(14–15), 1871–1879.	Kaplan, E. L. & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric Estimation from Incomplete Observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481.	Kalbfleisch, J. D. & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley.
别名	AFT model, parametric survival regression, Hızlandırılmış Başarısızlık Zamanı Modeli (AFT)	product-limit estimator, km curve, kaplan-meier sağkalım analizi	weibull aft model, weibull survival model, parametric survival regression, Weibull Regresyonu — Parametrik Hayatta Kalma
相关	3	2	4
摘要	The Accelerated Failure Time model is a parametric regression approach to survival analysis — formally reviewed and advocated by L. J. Wei in 1992 — in which covariates act as multiplicative factors that directly stretch or compress the time-to-event scale. Unlike the Cox proportional-hazards model, which models how covariates shift the hazard rate, AFT models express the covariate effect as an acceleration or deceleration of the time axis itself.	The Kaplan-Meier estimator, introduced by Kaplan and Meier in 1958, is a non-parametric method that estimates the survival curve — the probability of remaining event-free over time — from right-censored time-to-event data. The log-rank test is the companion procedure used to compare survival curves between groups.	Weibull regression is a fully parametric survival model, formalised by Kalbfleisch and Prentice, that assumes survival times follow a Weibull distribution. A shape parameter controls whether the hazard increases, decreases, or remains constant over time, while covariates shift the scale of the distribution to express how predictors affect survival.