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TGARCH có Cấu trúc Gãy (Threshold GARCH với Cấu trúc Gãy)×Mô hình EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Mô hình TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời1990-199319911993-1994
Người khởi xướngLamoureux & Lastrapes (structural breaks in GARCH); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (TGARCH/GJR-GARCH asymmetry)Daniel B. NelsonZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
LoạiVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelAsymmetric volatility model
Công trình gốcLamoureux, C. G., & Lastrapes, W. D. (1990). Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 8(2), 225-234. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácSB-TGARCH, threshold GARCH with structural breaks, GJR-GARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted TGARCHExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
Liên quan366
Tóm tắtStructural Break TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH (GJR-GARCH) model to accommodate discrete, permanent shifts in the volatility process. By detecting structural breaks and incorporating them — either as regime-specific intercepts or dummy variables — the model separates genuine volatility persistence from spurious persistence induced by ignored regime changes, and preserves the asymmetric leverage effect that characterises equity and financial return data.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Structural Break TGARCH · EGARCH model · TGARCH model. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare