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| Kiểm định Q của Ljung-Box về tự tương quan× | Kiểm định LM Breusch-Godfrey về Tương quan Chuỗi× | Kiểm định Durbin-Watson về Tự tương quan× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ≠ | Hypothesis test | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1978 | 1978 | 1950 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Greta Ljung & George Box | Trevor Breusch & Leslie Godfrey | James Durbin & Geoffrey Watson |
| Loại≠ | Portmanteau goodness-of-fit test | Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation | Test for first-order residual autocorrelation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Ljung, G. M., & Box, G. E. P. (1978). On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrika, 65(2), 297–303. DOI ↗ | Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301. DOI ↗ | Durbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | Ljung-Box Q Test, Modified Box-Pierce Test, Portmanteau Test for Autocorrelation, Otokorelasyon Portmanteau Testi | BG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testi | DW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testi |
| Liên quan≠ | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Ljung-Box Q test is a diagnostic portmanteau test proposed by Ljung and Box (1978) to assess whether a group of autocorrelations in a time series residual sequence is jointly zero. It is widely used to evaluate the adequacy of fitted time series models — especially ARIMA models — by testing whether remaining residuals exhibit any systematic pattern. The test is applicable in econometrics, finance, and any field that relies on temporal data modeling. | The Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing. | The Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations. |
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