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Mô hình EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Mô hình ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)×Mô hình DCC-GARCH (Tương quan có điều kiện động)×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời199119822002
Người khởi xướngDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleRobert F. Engle
LoạiVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility model
Công trình gốcNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
Liên quan665
Tóm tắtThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: EGARCH model · ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare