Process / pipelineSimulation / optimization

Deterministic Scenario Analysis — Fixed-parameter scenario exploration for planning and decision support

Deterministic Scenario Analysis (DSA) is a structured planning method in which analysts construct a finite set of internally consistent future scenarios, each defined by fixed, precisely specified parameter values rather than probability distributions. By running a model or calculation under each scenario's fixed inputs, decision-makers can map how outcomes diverge across plausible futures and stress-test strategies without requiring full probabilistic characterization of uncertainty.

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Sources

  1. Kahn, H., Wiener, A. J. (1967). The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years. Macmillan, New York. ISBN: 9780025604407
  2. Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993). Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation. Strategic Management Journal, 14(3), 193–213. DOI: 10.1002/smj.4250140304

Related methods

ScholarGateDeterministic Scenario Analysis (Deterministic Scenario Analysis — Fixed-parameter scenario exploration for planning and decision support). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/tr/simulation/deterministic-scenario-analysis