เปรียบเทียบวิธี
ดูวิธีที่เลือกเทียบกันแบบเคียงข้าง แถวที่ต่างกันจะถูกเน้นไว้
| แบบจำลองทีจีอาร์ซีเอช (TGARCH Model - Threshold GARCH)× | แบบจำลอง ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | แบบจำลอง DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)× | แบบจำลอง EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| สาขาวิชา | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ |
| ตระกูล | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| ปีกำเนิด≠ | 1993-1994 | 1982 | 2002 | 1991 |
| ผู้ริเริ่ม≠ | Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993) | Robert F. Engle | Robert F. Engle | Daniel B. Nelson |
| ประเภท≠ | Asymmetric volatility model | Conditional volatility model | Multivariate volatility model | Volatility / conditional variance model |
| แหล่งต้นตำรับ≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ |
| ชื่อเรียกอื่น | Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model | DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH |
| ที่เกี่ยวข้อง≠ | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| สรุป≠ | The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. | The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. |
| ScholarGateชุดข้อมูล ↗ |
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