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ดูวิธีที่เลือกเทียบกันแบบเคียงข้าง แถวที่ต่างกันจะถูกเน้นไว้

แบบจำลองทีจีอาร์ซีเอช (TGARCH Model - Threshold GARCH)×แบบจำลอง ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)×แบบจำลอง DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×แบบจำลอง EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×
สาขาวิชาเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติเศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูลRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
ปีกำเนิด1993-1994198220021991
ผู้ริเริ่มZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)Robert F. EngleRobert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
ประเภทAsymmetric volatility modelConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
แหล่งต้นตำรับZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง6656
สรุปThe Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: TGARCH model · ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · EGARCH model. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-19 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare