เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	แบบจำลอง ARCH ที่ทนทาน (Robust ARCH Model)	แบบจำลอง ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)
สาขาวิชา	เศรษฐมิติ	เศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูล	Regression model	Regression model
ปีกำเนิด	2002–2008	1982
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Engle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000s	Robert F. Engle
ประเภท	Volatility / conditional heteroscedasticity model	Conditional volatility model
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	robust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility model	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	6	6
สรุป	The Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.