เปรียบเทียบวิธี
ดูวิธีที่เลือกเทียบกันแบบเคียงข้าง แถวที่ต่างกันจะถูกเน้นไว้
| การทดสอบสหสัมพันธ์ร่วมของโยฮันเซนและแบบจำลองการปรับแก้ความคลาดเคลื่อนแบบเวกเตอร์× | แบบจำลอง ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | แบบจำลอง Vector Autoregression (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| สาขาวิชา≠ | การเงิน | เศรษฐมิติ | เศรษฐมิติ |
| ตระกูล | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| ปีกำเนิด≠ | 1991 | 2015 | 2005 |
| ผู้ริเริ่ม≠ | Søren Johansen | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| ประเภท≠ | Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction model | Univariate time-series model | Multivariate time-series model |
| แหล่งต้นตำรับ≠ | Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| ชื่อเรียกอื่น≠ | Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| ที่เกี่ยวข้อง≠ | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| สรุป≠ | The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
| ScholarGateชุดข้อมูล ↗ |
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