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เครือข่ายเบย์ (Bayesian Network)×การถดถอยแบบเบย์ (Bayesian Regression)×การระบุสาเหตุด้วยกราฟอะไซคลิกแบบมีทิศทาง (do-calculus)×Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)×แบบจำลองสมการโครงสร้าง×
สาขาวิชาเบย์เบย์การอนุมานเชิงสาเหตุเบย์สถิติการวิจัย
ตระกูลBayesian methodsBayesian methodsRegression modelBayesian methodsProcess / pipeline
ปีกำเนิด198820091921
ผู้ริเริ่มJudea PearlJudea PearlSewall Wright
ประเภทProbabilistic graphical modelBayesian linear modelCausal identification frameworkPosterior sampling algorithmMethod
แหล่งต้นตำรับPearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann. ISBN: 978-1558604797Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955Pearl, J. (2009). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521895606Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955Jöreskog, K. G., & Sörbom, D. (1973). LISREL: A general computer program for estimating a linear structural equation system. Research Bulletin 73-5. University of Stockholm. link ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นBayes network, belief network, probabilistic graphical model, directed graphical modelbayesian linear regression, probabilistic regression, bayesian regresyondo-calculus, backdoor adjustment, Pearl causal identification, DAG ile Nedensel Tanımlama (do-calculus)markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo)SEM, path analysis, latent variable modeling, causal modeling
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง42533
สรุปA Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model, introduced by Judea Pearl in 1988, that encodes a set of variables and their conditional dependencies as a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Each node represents a variable; each directed edge encodes a direct probabilistic influence. By combining Bayes' rule with the graph's conditional independence structure, the model supports reasoning under uncertainty — computing the probability of any variable given observed evidence about others.Bayesian regression is a probabilistic version of linear regression that treats the model parameters as uncertain quantities. Instead of returning a single best-fit estimate, it combines prior knowledge with the observed data to produce a full posterior probability distribution for each parameter, from which credible intervals and predictions are read off.DAG causal identification is a framework, developed by Judea Pearl (2009), that encodes causal assumptions as a directed acyclic graph and uses the do-calculus rules to determine whether and how a causal effect can be identified from observational data. It systematically handles confounders, instrumental variables, and backdoor paths.Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model.Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a comprehensive statistical framework combining path analysis (Sewall Wright, 1921) and confirmatory factor analysis to test complex causal models linking observed and latent variables. Formalized by Jöreskog (1973) with LISREL software, SEM enables simultaneous estimation of measurement relationships (how variables measure latent constructs) and structural relationships (how constructs influence outcomes), making it powerful for theory testing in psychology, epidemiology, organizational research, and health sciences where complex mediation, moderation, and latent processes require integrated analysis.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Bayesian Network · Bayesian Regression · DAG Causal Identification · MCMC · Structural Equation Modeling. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-17 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare