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MCDMGame-theoretic / formal IR

Crisis Bargaining Game

A crisis bargaining game is a formal, usually extensive-form model in which two states sequentially choose to challenge, escalate, stand firm, or back down during an international dispute, and the analyst solves for the equilibrium pattern of escalation and concession. Building on Schelling's strategy of conflict and given an influential treatment in Fearon's (1994) model of escalation as a war of attrition, these games make explicit how incomplete information about each side's resolve, and the costs each pays for backing down, shape whether a crisis ends in mutual accommodation, capitulation, or war.

Fungua katika MethodMindHivi karibuniTumia, linganisha, pata mwongozo
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Vyanzo

  1. Fearon, J. D. (1994). Domestic political audiences and the escalation of international disputes. American Political Science Review, 88(3), 577–592. DOI: 10.2307/2944796

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Game-Theoretic Models of International Crisis Bargaining. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/international-relations/crisis-bargaining-game

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ScholarGateCrisis Bargaining Game (Game-Theoretic Models of International Crisis Bargaining). Imepatikana 2026-06-24 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/international-relations/crisis-bargaining-game · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026