Linganisha mbinu
Pitia mbinu ulizochagua bega kwa bega; safu zinazotofautiana zinaangaziwa.
| Muundo wa ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | Mchambuko wa DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)× | Modeli wa GARCH (Utabiri wa Msukosuko)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyanja | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki |
| Familia | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Mwaka wa asili≠ | 1982 | 2002 | 1986 |
| Mwanzilishi≠ | Robert F. Engle | Robert F. Engle | Tim Bollerslev |
| Aina≠ | Conditional volatility model | Multivariate volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| Chanzo asilia≠ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ |
| Majina mbadala | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model | DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) |
| Zinazohusiana≠ | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Muhtasari≠ | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. | The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. |
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