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EGARCH-modellen (Exponential GARCH)×Autoregressiv modell för betingad heteroskedasticitet (ARCH-modell)×GARCH-modellen (prognostisering av volatilitet)×
ÄmnesområdeEkonometriEkonometriEkonometri
FamiljRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Ursprungsår199119821986
UpphovspersonDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
TypVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model
UrsprungskällaNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Närliggande665
SammanfattningThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateJämför metoder: EGARCH model · ARCH model · GARCH Model. Hämtad 2026-06-19 från https://scholargate.app/sv/compare