Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Robustni SARIMA model

Robustni SARIMA proširuje klasični sezonski ARIMA okvir zamenom standardnog kriterijuma najmanjih kvadrata robustnom funkcijom gubitka — kao što je M-estimetor — tako da odstupanja i inovacije sa teškim repovima u sezonskim vremenskim serijama ne mogu iskriviti procene parametara ili učiniti prognoze nevažećim.

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Izvori

  1. Muler, N., Peña, D., & Yohai, V. J. (2009). Robust estimation for ARMA models. The Annals of Statistics, 37(2), 816–840. DOI: 10.1214/07-AOS570
  2. Franses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1–9. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(98)00053-3

Kako citirati ovu stranicu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Robust Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/robust-sarima-model

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ScholarGateRobust SARIMA model (Robust Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). Preuzeto 2026-06-15 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/econometrics/robust-sarima-model · Skup podataka: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026