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Robusni GARCH model×EGARCH model (eksponencijalni GARCH)×GARCH model (predviđanje volatilnosti)×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka1986–201319911986
TvoracBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Daniel B. NelsonTim Bollerslev
TipVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility model
Temeljni izvorBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Srodne565
SažetakThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Robust GARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare