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Keliov kriterijum×Vrednovanje neutralno na rizik×
OblastKvantitativne finansijeKvantitativne finansije
PorodicaRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka19561979
TvoracJohn L. Kelly Jr.John Harrison and David Kreps
TipBet Sizing FrameworkFundamental Principle
Temeljni izvorKelly, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926. DOI ↗Harrison, J. M., & Kreps, D. M. (1979). Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets. Journal of Economic Theory, 20(3), 381-408. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviKelly Formula, Optimal Bet SizingRisk-Neutral Measure, Q-Measure
Srodne14
SažetakThe Kelly Criterion (1956) is a formula for optimal bet sizing that maximizes the long-run logarithmic growth of wealth. It specifies the optimal fraction of capital to risk on each trade based on win probability and payoff ratio. The criterion has become foundational in quantitative trading, portfolio management, and behavioral economics.Risk-neutral valuation (1979) is the fundamental principle that derivative prices equal the expected payoff discounted at the risk-free rate, computed under a risk-neutral probability measure (Q-measure). This principle, formalized by Harrison and Kreps, eliminates the need to estimate risk premia and is the foundation of modern derivatives pricing.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Kelly Criterion · Risk-Neutral Valuation. Preuzeto 2026-06-19 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare