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Model štruktúrnych zlomov MA×Model kĺzavých priemerov (MA)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1989–19921970
TvorcaPerron (1989); Zivot & Andrews (1992)Box and Jenkins
TypTime series model with structural changeLinear time series model
Pôvodný zdrojPerron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
Ďalšie názvyMA model with structural change, broken MA model, MA with regime shift, structural break moving averageMA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
Príbuzné55
ZhrnutieA Moving Average (MA) time series model augmented to accommodate one or more structural breaks — abrupt shifts in the mean, variance, or MA coefficients occurring at known or unknown break dates. Ignoring structural breaks in an MA process inflates forecast errors and distorts inference on the error dynamics.The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Structural Break MA Model · Moving Average Model. Získané 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare