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Robustný model ARMA×Model ARMA (Autoregresívny kĺzavý priemer)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku19861970
TvorcaMartin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypRobust time series modelTime series model
Pôvodný zdrojFranses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Ďalšie názvyrobust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Príbuzné55
ZhrnutieThe Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Robust ARMA Model · ARMA model. Získané 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare